Tariff Uncertainty Sends Canada Goose Forecast into Deep Freeze

Who picks up the bill when tariffs bite and luxury sales soar? As Canada Goose posts robust numbers but withholds its annual outlook, the answer to who’s paying Trump’s tariffs is anything but straightforward.

Canada Goose, the Toronto-based apparel giant, landed at the centre of a trade storm this past quarter. While the company’s iconic parkas kept flying off the shelves, especially in China and the United States, executives refused to predict the future. The reason: mounting uncertainty from U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating tariffs, which have left companies and consumers alike wondering who’ll absorb the extra costs.

It’s a question that’s no longer academic. With a global trade war rattling markets, the luxury sector finds itself squeezed between unpredictable policy and insatiable consumer demand. Canada Goose isn’t alone—other retailers have also withheld or cut forecasts, wary of how tariffs could reshape their bottom lines. Yet, even as corporate outlooks chill, sales are heating up. The company’s U.S.-listed shares jumped eight percent on strong quarterly revenue—up to C$384.6 million, exceeding analyst expectations.

Timing is everything in retail, and for Canada Goose, the January-to-March window was crucial. Lunar New Year campaigns in China, now the company’s largest market at nearly a third of total revenue, fueled a whopping 63.1% regional growth. Stateside, a collaboration with designer Haider Ackermann drove a 15.3% surge in sales, with the U.S. market accounting for nearly a quarter of global revenue. Meanwhile, leaner inventories and a 15.7% rise in direct-to-consumer sales further lifted margins to 71.3%—a notable uptick from last year.

But here’s where the story gets complicated. Rising sales don’t make tariffs disappear—they just shift the pain. As Walmart and other mass retailers raise prices, it’s clear someone is footing the bill, whether it’s the consumer at checkout or the company through squeezed profits. For Canada Goose, the strategy seems to be hedging bets: maximize momentum in luxury hotspots while sidestepping clear financial predictions amid policy chaos.

Ultimately, the question of who pays Trump’s tariffs is less about corporate spreadsheets and more about the delicate dance between global policy, consumer wallets, and the brands that navigate both. For luxury shoppers and Barrie locals alike, the price of that iconic parka may soon be about much more than just style.

References:
Luxury retailer Canada Goose withholds annual forecast on tariff uncertainty

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